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« Reply #360 on: July 07, 2010, 01:58:08 PM » |
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damn down time is cycling too though. was 1pm - 6pm yesterday appears to be 7am - ?? now today we'll have to see when the wrenches resume later
Its the timezone fix to try to stop people in one timezone from being online and crafting constantly gaining all wrenches. i.e. its sort of tells them to go to bed and let another country have a go
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discordance
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« Reply #361 on: July 07, 2010, 02:15:39 PM » |
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Yes, well it lines up with the lowest point in steam activity but shifting it around would help slightly in removing any bias against whichever timezones evening lines up with the low point of steam users. its not possible for one timezone to get all the wrenches though as its roughly 1 per hour at roughly 25 per 24 hours. Although one timezone could be effectively blocked by persistently being in the dead zone. There must be an underlying explanation though, either blog preparation time or just turning if off at the low point when its easiest for you to get a wrench.
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Zarf
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« Reply #362 on: July 07, 2010, 02:45:20 PM » |
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cleared out my backpack to get a few slot tokens and class tokens to ease the inevitable update drop pain, no golden wrench though (big surprise)
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CruelCow
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« Reply #363 on: July 07, 2010, 02:51:56 PM » |
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Tbh. I think it would be best for our community if nobody got one.
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Hzza
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« Reply #364 on: July 07, 2010, 03:01:13 PM » |
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Tbh. I think it would be best for our community if nobody got one.
That. Or medals. Or fucking earbuds/hats/long service awards/gold plated epeen boosters/"community" weapons. Stupid meta game...
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« Reply #365 on: July 07, 2010, 03:06:38 PM » |
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Tbh. I think it would be best for our community if nobody got one.
That. Or medals. Or fucking earbuds/hats/long service awards/gold plated epeen boosters/"community" weapons. Stupid meta game... Says the guy that went to his dads to get the earbuds I did the next best thing n got an iphone 4 and got REAL earbuds 
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CruelCow
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« Reply #366 on: July 07, 2010, 03:11:53 PM » |
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That's not the next best thing. That's more like the worst thing possible. Don't you miss your soul?
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Hzza
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« Reply #367 on: July 07, 2010, 03:12:09 PM » |
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Says the guy that went to his dads to get the earbuds lol, fair point, I didn't go in the end though so I think my credibility's in tact...
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discordance
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« Reply #368 on: July 07, 2010, 03:14:17 PM » |
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cleared out my backpack to get a few slot tokens and class tokens to ease the inevitable update drop pain, no golden wrench though (big surprise)
Well phew the drops are back so you picked a good time to try, afternoon is still fairly low activity.
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discordance
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« Reply #369 on: July 07, 2010, 03:15:24 PM » |
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Tbh. I think it would be best for our community if nobody got one.
That. Or medals. Or fucking earbuds/hats/long service awards/gold plated epeen boosters/"community" weapons. Stupid meta game... Says the guy that went to his dads to get the earbuds I did the next best thing n got an iphone 4 and got REAL earbuds  I'd rather have the fake ones, boo iphone  . I need to change my steam password anyway should have given you my account details Hzza 
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mandl
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« Reply #370 on: July 07, 2010, 03:30:57 PM » |
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two wrenches just dropped within a minute of each other and there were 6 in the last two hours.
Id guess valve are manually intefering now
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"Its better to burn out than fade away" 
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CruelCow
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« Reply #371 on: July 07, 2010, 03:39:13 PM » |
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Completely forgot to post the details in case Valve changes something  THE WRANGLER Replaces Pistol - Engineers can use the Wrangler to take control and aim their sentry gun
- An Engineer-controlled sentry won't select targets by itself
- The Wrangler creates a shield that absorbs 66% of all incoming damage
- Gives a double fire rate. Also increases missile launch rate at level 3
- The sentry is defenseless (inactive) for three seconds after the Engineer switches away from the Wrangler
Edit: Did we know this already? http://www.teamfortress.com/engineerupdate/wrangdigan/
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2010, 03:41:50 PM by CruelCow »
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discordance
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« Reply #372 on: July 07, 2010, 03:43:19 PM » |
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two wrenches just dropped within a minute of each other and there were 6 in the last two hours.
Id guess valve are manually intefering now
No I just plotted without that data. We see basically a logartihm with a massively suspicious peak at 45 mins, I'd expect more to drop at short gaps and at 45 mins.  Will update with new data later but either you craft in the first 10 mins after a wrench or for best results wait 45 mins
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2010, 03:46:10 PM by discordance »
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« Reply #373 on: July 07, 2010, 04:03:55 PM » |
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 so probability plotted now and up to wrench 65. Crafting anywhere in the first 20 mins is a good bet but your best is still to go for the 45 mark with a 20% chance of it landing between 40-50 mins. Down time today was 8am-1pm Yesterday was 1pm-6pm so its a 5 hour period, so current prediction your best shot is still tommorow morning 45 mins after a wrench.
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« Last Edit: July 07, 2010, 04:06:58 PM by discordance »
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« Reply #374 on: July 07, 2010, 04:29:44 PM » |
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 so probability plotted now and up to wrench 65. Crafting anywhere in the first 20 mins is a good bet but your best is still to go for the 45 mark with a 20% chance of it landing between 40-50 mins. Down time today was 8am-1pm Yesterday was 1pm-6pm so its a 5 hour period, so current prediction your best shot is still tommorow morning 45 mins after a wrench. Or they are currently dropping, and last one (65) dropps over two hours ago now...... Get crafting people 
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